St Maarten Weather
St Maarten Weather
Today’s Date is: February 13, 2022
Public Forecast
DATE ISSUED: Sunday, February 13, 2022 @ 06:00 LST (10:00 UTC)
VALID UNTIL: Monday morning (06:00 LST) February 14, 2022
…A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ST. MAARTEN UNTIL MIDNIGHT SUNDAY 13TH FEBRUARY…
WEATHER: Today through Monday morning: Partly cloudy and breezy, becoming cloudy at times with brief isolated showers.
Forecast High: 29°C / 84°F Forecast Low: 24°C / 75°F
SURFACE WINDS: Today through Monday morning: East northeasterly with a moderate to fresh breeze of 12 to 20 mph, and higher gusts possible.
Sunset Today: 6:12 P.M. Sunrise Tomorrow: 6:39 A.M.
STATE OF THE SEA: Moderate to rough WAVES/SWELLS: 6 to 9 feet
SPECIAL FEATURE: None.
OUTLOOK through Tuesday morning: Partly cloudy with passing showers possible.
FORECASTER: Albert
The next weather forecast will be issued today at 12:00 LST (16:00 UTC).
SYNOPSIS: A strong Atlantic high pressure system will maintain brisk winds and hazardous sea conditions today. Low-level clouds transported by the wind flow will result in passing showers.
Seas are expected to peak at 9 feet today and gradually subside tonight. Consequently, small craft operators and sea bathers are advised to continue exercising caution, especially along the northern and eastern shores.
ForecastSpecial Bulletin
WEATHER:
Today through Monday morning: Partly cloudy and breezy, becoming cloudy at times with brief isolated showers.
Read the full forecast…
Meteorological Department St. Maarten
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D
a
t
e Time
(ast) Wind
(mph) Vis.
(mi.) Weather Sky Cond. Temperature (ºF) Relative
Humidity Wind
Chill
(°F) Heat
Index
(°F) Pressure Precipitation (in.)
Air Dwpt 6 hour altimeter
(in) sea level
(mb) 1 hr 3 hr 6 hr
Max. Min.
13 07:00 NE 12 NA Partly Cloudy SCT016 77 70 79% NA 79 NA NA
13 06:00 NE 9 NA Mostly Cloudy SCT017 BKN035 77 70 79% NA 79 NA NA
13 05:00 NE 13 NA Partly Cloudy SCT017 75 68 78% NA NA NA NA
13 04:00 NE 15 NA Light Showers Rain SCT016 75 68 78% NA NA NA NA
13 03:00 NE 10 G 25 NA Partly Cloudy SCT018 77 70 79% NA 79 NA NA
13 02:00 NE 10 NA Partly Cloudy SCT018 77 68 74% NA 79 NA NA
13 01:00 NE 10 NA Partly Cloudy SCT018 77 70 79% NA 79 NA NA
13 00:00 E 12 NA Partly Cloudy SCT018 77 68 74% NA 79 NA NA
12 23:00 NE 15 NA Partly Cloudy SCT018 77 68 74% NA 79 NA NA
12 22:00 NE 12 NA A Few Clouds FEW018 77 66 69% NA 79 NA NA
12 21:00 E 14 NA Partly Cloudy SCT018 77 68 74% NA 79 NA NA
12 20:00 E 15 NA Partly Cloudy SCT018 SCT035 77 68 74% NA 79 NA NA
12 19:00 E 13 NA Showers in Vicinity Showers Rain BKN016TCU BKN035 75 68 78% NA NA NA NA
12 18:00 E 10 NA Light Showers Rain Showers Rain BKN016 SCT035 77 70 79% NA 79 NA NA
12 17:00 E 13 NA Showers in Vicinity Showers in Vicinity Showers Rain FEW016 BKN035 79 68 70% NA 81 NA NA
12 16:00 E 14 NA Showers in Vicinity Showers Rain FEW016 BKN035 77 70 79% NA 79 NA NA
12 15:00 E 10 NA Showers Rain FEW016 BKN035 79 70 74% NA 82 NA NA
12 14:00 E 15 NA Light Rain Showers Rain SCT014TCU SCT035 79 72 79% NA 82 NA NA
12 13:00 E 16 NA Light Showers Rain Showers Rain SCT014 BKN036 82 73 74% NA 87 NA NA
12 12:00 E 15 NA Mostly Cloudy FEW017 BKN036 77 73 89% NA 78 NA NA
12 11:27 E 18 NA Light Showers Rain Showers Rain BKN015 BKN035 77 72 83% NA 78 NA NA
12 11:00 E 14 G 26 NA Showers in Vicinity Showers Rain BKN015 SCT035 79 72 79% NA 82 NA NA
12 10:00 E 15 NA Showers in Vicinity Showers Rain BKN015 81 72 74% NA 85 NA NA
12 09:00 E 14 NA Showers in Vicinity Showers Rain FEW016 BKN035 75 72 89% NA NA NA NA
12 08:00 E 15 NA Light Showers Rain SCT015 SCT035 77 70 79% NA 79 NA NA
12 07:00 E 12 NA Showers in Vicinity Showers Rain SCT016 77 70 79% NA 79 NA NA
12 06:00 E 8 NA A Few Clouds FEW016 75 70 83% NA NA NA NA
12 05:00 E 10 NA Showers in Vicinity BKN018 75 70 83% NA NA NA NA
12 04:00 E 17 NA Partly Cloudy SCT018 75 68 78% NA NA NA NA
12 03:00 E 14 NA Showers in Vicinity BKN018 77 68 74% NA 79 NA NA
12 02:00 E 12 NA Partly Cloudy SCT018 77 66 69% NA 79 NA NA
12 01:00 E 14 NA A Few Clouds FEW018 77 64 65% NA 79 NA NA
12 00:00 E 15 NA A Few Clouds FEW018 77 66 69% NA 79 NA NA
11 23:00 NE 14 NA Partly Cloudy SCT016 SCT035 79 68 70% NA 81 NA NA
11 22:00 E 16 NA Partly Cloudy SCT016 SCT035 75 70 83% NA NA NA NA
11 21:00 E 15 NA Mostly Cloudy FEW016 BKN035 73 70 89% NA NA NA NA
11 20:00 E 15 NA Light Showers Rain BKN016 77 70 79% NA 79 NA NA
11 19:00 E 16 NA Partly Cloudy SCT018 77 68 74% NA 79 NA NA
11 18:00 NE 13 NA A Few Clouds FEW017 77 68 74% NA 79 NA NA
11 17:00 NE 21 NA A Few Clouds and Breezy FEW018 81 64 58% NA 83 NA NA
11 16:00 E 15 NA A Few Clouds FEW018 82 66 58% NA 84 NA NA
11 15:00 E 15 NA A Few Clouds FEW020 82 64 55% NA 84 NA NA
11 14:00 E 15 NA Partly Cloudy SCT018 82 66 58% NA 84 NA NA
11 13:00 E 16 NA A Few Clouds FEW020 82 64 55% NA 84 NA NA
11 12:00 E 17 NA A Few Clouds FEW022 82 64 55% NA 84 NA NA
11 11:00 E 16 NA A Few Clouds FEW022 82 63 51% NA 83 NA NA
11 10:00 E 18 NA A Few Clouds FEW018 81 64 58% NA 83 NA NA
11 09:00 E 15 NA Partly Cloudy FEW018 SCT035 81 68 66% NA 84 NA NA
11 08:00 E 15 NA Showers in Vicinity SCT016 SCT035 79 70 74% NA 82 NA NA
11 07:00 E 16 NA Partly Cloudy FEW016 SCT035 77 68 74% NA 79 NA NA
11 06:00 E 13 NA A Few Clouds FEW018 77 68 74% NA 79 NA NA
11 05:00 E 13 G 25 NA Light Showers Rain SCT018 77 68 74% NA 79 NA NA
11 04:00 E 17 NA A Few Clouds FEW020 77 66 69% NA 79 NA NA
11 03:00 E 15 NA A Few Clouds FEW018 77 66 69% NA 79 NA NA
11 02:00 E 17 NA A Few Clouds FEW018 77 66 69% NA 79 NA NA
11 01:00 E 14 NA Partly Cloudy FEW018 SCT035 77 68 74% NA 79 NA NA
11 00:00 NE 12 NA Light Showers Rain FEW016 SCT035 77 72 83% NA 78 NA NA
10 23:00 E 14 NA Partly Cloudy FEW018 SCT035 77 68 74% NA 79 NA NA
10 22:00 E 10 NA A Few Clouds FEW016 77 70 79% NA 79 NA NA
10 21:00 E 14 NA A Few Clouds FEW016 77 70 79% NA 79 NA NA
10 20:00 E 14 NA Light Showers Rain BKN016 77 70 79% NA 79 NA NA
10 19:00 E 13 NA A Few Clouds FEW016 77 70 79% NA 79 NA NA
10 18:00 NE 14 NA A Few Clouds FEW018 79 70 74% NA 82 NA NA
10 17:00 E 13 NA Showers in Vicinity FEW018 81 70 70% NA 85 NA NA
10 16:00 E 13 NA Partly Cloudy SCT018 82 68 62% NA 85 NA NA
10 15:00 E 14 NA Partly Cloudy SCT018 82 68 62% NA 85 NA NA
10 14:00 E 12 NA Partly Cloudy SCT018 84 68 58% NA 87 NA NA
10 13:00 E 13 NA Partly Cloudy SCT016 84 70 62% NA 88 NA NA
10 12:00 E 10 NA Partly Cloudy FEW018 SCT035 82 66 58% NA 84 NA NA
10 11:00 E 20 NA Partly Cloudy FEW018 SCT035 77 68 74% NA 79 NA NA
10 10:00 E 12 NA Partly Cloudy SCT016 SCT035 79 70 74% NA 82 NA NA
10 09:00 E 12 NA Light Showers Rain Showers Rain FEW014 SCT035 79 68 70% NA 81 NA NA
10 08:00 NE 10 NA Mostly Cloudy FEW018 BKN035 79 68 70% NA 81 NA NA
D
a
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(ast) Wind
(mph) Vis.
(mi.) Weather Sky Cond. Air Dwpt Max. Min. Relative
Humidity Wind
Chill
(°F) Heat
Index
(°F) altimeter
(in.) sea level
(mb) 1 hr 3 hr 6 hr
6 hour
Temperature (ºF) Pressure Precipitation (in.)
National Weather Service
Southern Region Headquarters
Fort Worth, Texas
Disclaimer
Last Modified: Febuary, 7 2012
Privacy Policy
NWS All NOAA
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Offshore Waters Forecast (Caribbean/SW Atlantic)
617
FZNT23 KNHC 130902
OFFNT3
Offshore Waters Forecast for the SW and Tropical N Atlantic and
Caribbean Sea
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami, FL
402 AM EST Sun Feb 13 2022
Offshore Waters Forecast for the Tropical N Atlantic from 07N to
22N between 55W and 64W, the SW N Atlantic S of 31N W of 65W
including Bahamas, and the Caribbean Sea.
Seas given as significant wave height, which is the average
height of the highest 1/3 of the waves. Individual waves may be
more than twice the significant wave height.
AMZ001-132115-
Synopsis for Caribbean Sea and Tropical N Atlantic from 07N to
19N between 55W and 64W
402 AM EST Sun Feb 13 2022
.SYNOPSIS…Winds will pulse to gale force off Colombia every
night through Thu night. The areal extent of fresh to strong
winds over the central Caribbean will shrink slightly today, and
mainly be confined to the south-central Caribbean through Mon
night. A cold front is forecast to enter the northwest Caribbean
this evening, generating fresh to strong NE winds behind it
through Tue with building seas. Expect conditions to deteriorate
over the Yucatan Channel this morning with thunderstorms and gusty
winds. The cold front will extend from eastern Cuba to NE Honduras
by late Mon night, where it will stall before dissipating Tue.
Fresh to strong NE winds will funnel through the Windward Passage
Mon night through the middle of next week. Looking ahead, strong
winds will expand in areal coverage again over the central
Caribbean Sea by the middle of next week.
weather.gov
NOAA logo – Click to go to the NOAA homepage Weather observations for the past three days NWS logo
Prinses Juliana
Enter Your “City, ST” or zip code
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D
a
t
e Time
(ast) Wind
(mph) Vis.
(mi.) Weather Sky Cond. Temperature (ºF) Relative
Humidity Wind
Chill
(°F) Heat
Index
(°F) Pressure Precipitation (in.)
Air Dwpt 6 hour altimeter
(in) sea level
(mb) 1 hr 3 hr 6 hr
Max. Min.
13 07:00 NE 12 NA Partly Cloudy SCT016 77 70 79% NA 79 NA NA
13 06:00 NE 9 NA Mostly Cloudy SCT017 BKN035 77 70 79% NA 79 NA NA
13 05:00 NE 13 NA Partly Cloudy SCT017 75 68 78% NA NA NA NA
13 04:00 NE 15 NA Light Showers Rain SCT016 75 68 78% NA NA NA NA
13 03:00 NE 10 G 25 NA Partly Cloudy SCT018 77 70 79% NA 79 NA NA
13 02:00 NE 10 NA Partly Cloudy SCT018 77 68 74% NA 79 NA NA
13 01:00 NE 10 NA Partly Cloudy SCT018 77 70 79% NA 79 NA NA
13 00:00 E 12 NA Partly Cloudy SCT018 77 68 74% NA 79 NA NA
12 23:00 NE 15 NA Partly Cloudy SCT018 77 68 74% NA 79 NA NA
12 22:00 NE 12 NA A Few Clouds FEW018 77 66 69% NA 79 NA NA
12 21:00 E 14 NA Partly Cloudy SCT018 77 68 74% NA 79 NA NA
12 20:00 E 15 NA Partly Cloudy SCT018 SCT035 77 68 74% NA 79 NA NA
12 19:00 E 13 NA Showers in Vicinity Showers Rain BKN016TCU BKN035 75 68 78% NA NA NA NA
12 18:00 E 10 NA Light Showers Rain Showers Rain BKN016 SCT035 77 70 79% NA 79 NA NA
12 17:00 E 13 NA Showers in Vicinity Showers in Vicinity Showers Rain FEW016 BKN035 79 68 70% NA 81 NA NA
12 16:00 E 14 NA Showers in Vicinity Showers Rain FEW016 BKN035 77 70 79% NA 79 NA NA
12 15:00 E 10 NA Showers Rain FEW016 BKN035 79 70 74% NA 82 NA NA
12 14:00 E 15 NA Light Rain Showers Rain SCT014TCU SCT035 79 72 79% NA 82 NA NA
12 13:00 E 16 NA Light Showers Rain Showers Rain SCT014 BKN036 82 73 74% NA 87 NA NA
12 12:00 E 15 NA Mostly Cloudy FEW017 BKN036 77 73 89% NA 78 NA NA
12 11:27 E 18 NA Light Showers Rain Showers Rain BKN015 BKN035 77 72 83% NA 78 NA NA
12 11:00 E 14 G 26 NA Showers in Vicinity Showers Rain BKN015 SCT035 79 72 79% NA 82 NA NA
12 10:00 E 15 NA Showers in Vicinity Showers Rain BKN015 81 72 74% NA 85 NA NA
12 09:00 E 14 NA Showers in Vicinity Showers Rain FEW016 BKN035 75 72 89% NA NA NA NA
12 08:00 E 15 NA Light Showers Rain SCT015 SCT035 77 70 79% NA 79 NA NA
12 07:00 E 12 NA Showers in Vicinity Showers Rain SCT016 77 70 79% NA 79 NA NA
12 06:00 E 8 NA A Few Clouds FEW016 75 70 83% NA NA NA NA
12 05:00 E 10 NA Showers in Vicinity BKN018 75 70 83% NA NA NA NA
12 04:00 E 17 NA Partly Cloudy SCT018 75 68 78% NA NA NA NA
12 03:00 E 14 NA Showers in Vicinity BKN018 77 68 74% NA 79 NA NA
12 02:00 E 12 NA Partly Cloudy SCT018 77 66 69% NA 79 NA NA
12 01:00 E 14 NA A Few Clouds FEW018 77 64 65% NA 79 NA NA
12 00:00 E 15 NA A Few Clouds FEW018 77 66 69% NA 79 NA NA
11 23:00 NE 14 NA Partly Cloudy SCT016 SCT035 79 68 70% NA 81 NA NA
11 22:00 E 16 NA Partly Cloudy SCT016 SCT035 75 70 83% NA NA NA NA
11 21:00 E 15 NA Mostly Cloudy FEW016 BKN035 73 70 89% NA NA NA NA
11 20:00 E 15 NA Light Showers Rain BKN016 77 70 79% NA 79 NA NA
11 19:00 E 16 NA Partly Cloudy SCT018 77 68 74% NA 79 NA NA
11 18:00 NE 13 NA A Few Clouds FEW017 77 68 74% NA 79 NA NA
11 17:00 NE 21 NA A Few Clouds and Breezy FEW018 81 64 58% NA 83 NA NA
11 16:00 E 15 NA A Few Clouds FEW018 82 66 58% NA 84 NA NA
11 15:00 E 15 NA A Few Clouds FEW020 82 64 55% NA 84 NA NA
11 14:00 E 15 NA Partly Cloudy SCT018 82 66 58% NA 84 NA NA
11 13:00 E 16 NA A Few Clouds FEW020 82 64 55% NA 84 NA NA
11 12:00 E 17 NA A Few Clouds FEW022 82 64 55% NA 84 NA NA
11 11:00 E 16 NA A Few Clouds FEW022 82 63 51% NA 83 NA NA
11 10:00 E 18 NA A Few Clouds FEW018 81 64 58% NA 83 NA NA
11 09:00 E 15 NA Partly Cloudy FEW018 SCT035 81 68 66% NA 84 NA NA
11 08:00 E 15 NA Showers in Vicinity SCT016 SCT035 79 70 74% NA 82 NA NA
11 07:00 E 16 NA Partly Cloudy FEW016 SCT035 77 68 74% NA 79 NA NA
11 06:00 E 13 NA A Few Clouds FEW018 77 68 74% NA 79 NA NA
11 05:00 E 13 G 25 NA Light Showers Rain SCT018 77 68 74% NA 79 NA NA
11 04:00 E 17 NA A Few Clouds FEW020 77 66 69% NA 79 NA NA
11 03:00 E 15 NA A Few Clouds FEW018 77 66 69% NA 79 NA NA
11 02:00 E 17 NA A Few Clouds FEW018 77 66 69% NA 79 NA NA
11 01:00 E 14 NA Partly Cloudy FEW018 SCT035 77 68 74% NA 79 NA NA
11 00:00 NE 12 NA Light Showers Rain FEW016 SCT035 77 72 83% NA 78 NA NA
10 23:00 E 14 NA Partly Cloudy FEW018 SCT035 77 68 74% NA 79 NA NA
10 22:00 E 10 NA A Few Clouds FEW016 77 70 79% NA 79 NA NA
10 21:00 E 14 NA A Few Clouds FEW016 77 70 79% NA 79 NA NA
10 20:00 E 14 NA Light Showers Rain BKN016 77 70 79% NA 79 NA NA
10 19:00 E 13 NA A Few Clouds FEW016 77 70 79% NA 79 NA NA
10 18:00 NE 14 NA A Few Clouds FEW018 79 70 74% NA 82 NA NA
10 17:00 E 13 NA Showers in Vicinity FEW018 81 70 70% NA 85 NA NA
10 16:00 E 13 NA Partly Cloudy SCT018 82 68 62% NA 85 NA NA
10 15:00 E 14 NA Partly Cloudy SCT018 82 68 62% NA 85 NA NA
10 14:00 E 12 NA Partly Cloudy SCT018 84 68 58% NA 87 NA NA
10 13:00 E 13 NA Partly Cloudy SCT016 84 70 62% NA 88 NA NA
10 12:00 E 10 NA Partly Cloudy FEW018 SCT035 82 66 58% NA 84 NA NA
10 11:00 E 20 NA Partly Cloudy FEW018 SCT035 77 68 74% NA 79 NA NA
10 10:00 E 12 NA Partly Cloudy SCT016 SCT035 79 70 74% NA 82 NA NA
10 09:00 E 12 NA Light Showers Rain Showers Rain FEW014 SCT035 79 68 70% NA 81 NA NA
10 08:00 NE 10 NA Mostly Cloudy FEW018 BKN035 79 68 70% NA 81 NA NA
D
a
t
e Time
(ast) Wind
(mph) Vis.
(mi.) Weather Sky Cond. Air Dwpt Max. Min. Relative
Humidity Wind
Chill
(°F) Heat
Index
(°F) altimeter
(in.) sea level
(mb) 1 hr 3 hr 6 hr
6 hour
Temperature (ºF) Pressure Precipitation (in.)
National Weather Service
Southern Region Headquarters
Fort Worth, Texas
Disclaimer
Last Modified: Febuary, 7 2012
Privacy Policy
$$
AMZ011-132115-
Caribbean N of 18N W of 85W including Yucatan Basin-
402 AM EST Sun Feb 13 2022
.TODAY…E winds 10 kt, shifting to N in the afternoon. Seas 3 to
5 ft. Scattered showers and isolated tstms.
.TONIGHT…N to NE winds 20 to 25 kt. Seas 6 to 8 ft. Scattered
showers and isolated tstms.
.MON…NE winds 20 to 25 kt. Seas 7 to 10 ft in N to NE swell.
Scattered showers.
.MON NIGHT…NE winds 20 to 25 kt. Seas 7 to 10 ft in N to NE
swell.
.TUE…NE to E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft.
.TUE NIGHT…E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft.
.WED…E to SE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft.
.WED NIGHT…E to SE winds 15 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft.
.THU…E to SE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft.
.THU NIGHT…SE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft.
$$
AMZ013-132115-
Caribbean N of 18N between 76W and 85W including Cayman Basin-
402 AM EST Sun Feb 13 2022
.TODAY…E winds 10 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft.
.TONIGHT…Between Cuba and Jamaica, NE to E winds 10 kt,
shifting to NW to N late. Elsewhere, N winds 10 kt,
becoming N to NE 20 to 25 kt late. Seas 4 to 6 ft in E
to SE swell. Scattered showers.
.MON…Between Cuba and Jamaica, N winds 10 kt, shifting to NE to
E in the afternoon. Elsewhere, NE winds 20 to 25 kt. Seas 6 to
9 ft in NE swell.
.MON NIGHT…NE to E winds 10 to 15 kt between Cuba and Jamaica,
and NE 20 to 25 kt elsewhere. Seas 6 to 9 ft in NE to E swell.
Scattered showers.
.TUE…NE to E winds 20 to 25 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft.
.TUE NIGHT…NE to E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft.
.WED…E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft.
.WED NIGHT…E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft.
.THU…E to SE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft.
.THU NIGHT…E to SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft.
$$
AMZ015-132115-
Caribbean Approaches to the Windward Passage-
402 AM EST Sun Feb 13 2022
.TODAY…E to SE winds 10 to 15 kt, shifting to N to NE in the
afternoon. Seas 5 to 7 ft in E to SE swell.
.TONIGHT…Variable winds less than 5 kt, becoming N to NE 10 kt
late. Seas 4 to 6 ft in E to SE swell.
.MON…NE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft.
.MON NIGHT…NE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft.
.TUE…NE to E winds 20 to 25 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft.
.TUE NIGHT…NE to E winds 20 to 25 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft.
.WED…NE to E winds 20 to 25 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft.
.WED NIGHT…E winds 20 to 25 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft.
.THU…E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft.
.THU NIGHT…NE to E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft.
$$
AMZ017-132115-
Gulf of Honduras-
402 AM EST Sun Feb 13 2022
.TODAY…NE to E winds 10 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Scattered showers.
.TONIGHT…N to NE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft, building to
5 to 7 ft late. Scattered showers and isolated tstms.
.MON…N winds 20 to 25 kt S of 17N W of 87W, and NE 15 to 20 kt
elsewhere. Seas 6 to 8 ft in N swell. Scattered tstms.
.MON NIGHT…NW to N winds 15 to 20 kt S of 17N W of 87W, and NE
20 to 25 kt elsewhere. Seas 7 to 10 ft in N to NE swell.
Scattered tstms.
.TUE…NE to E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft.
.TUE NIGHT…E winds 10 to 15 kt, shifting to SE to S late. Seas
4 to 6 ft.
.WED…E to SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft.
.WED NIGHT…E to SE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft.
.THU…E to SE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft.
.THU NIGHT…E to SE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft.
$$
AMZ019-132115-
Caribbean from 15N to 18N between 80W and 85W-
402 AM EST Sun Feb 13 2022
.TODAY…E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft.
.TONIGHT…NE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft in E swell.
Scattered showers.
.MON…NE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft. Scattered showers.
.MON NIGHT…NE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 6 to 8 ft in NE swell.
Scattered showers.
.TUE…NE to E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft.
.TUE NIGHT…NE to E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft.
.WED…E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft.
.WED NIGHT…E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft.
.THU…E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft.
.THU NIGHT…E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft.
$$
AMZ021-132115-
Caribbean from 15N to 18N between 72W and 80W-
402 AM EST Sun Feb 13 2022
.TODAY…E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 6 to 9 ft in E to SE swell.
.TONIGHT…NE to E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 6 to 8 ft.
.MON…NE to E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft.
.MON NIGHT…NE to E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft.
.TUE…E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft.
.TUE NIGHT…E winds 20 to 25 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft.
.WED…E winds 20 to 25 kt. Seas 6 to 8 ft.
.WED NIGHT…E winds 20 to 25 kt. Seas 6 to 9 ft in E swell.
.THU…E winds 20 to 25 kt. Seas 6 to 9 ft in E to SE swell.
.THU NIGHT…E winds 20 to 25 kt. Seas 6 to 9 ft in E to SE
swell.
$$
AMZ023-132115-
Caribbean N of 15N between 64W and 72W-
402 AM EST Sun Feb 13 2022
.TODAY…E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 6 to 8 ft.
.TONIGHT…E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft.
.MON…E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft.
.MON NIGHT…NE to E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft.
.TUE…NE to E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft.
.TUE NIGHT…NE to E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft.
.WED…E winds 20 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft.
.WED NIGHT…NE to E winds 20 to 25 kt. Seas 6 to 8 ft.
.THU…NE to E winds 20 to 25 kt. Seas 6 to 8 ft.
.THU NIGHT…NE to E winds 20 to 25 kt. Seas 6 to 8 ft.
$$
AMZ025-132115-
Offshore Waters Leeward Islands-
402 AM EST Sun Feb 13 2022
.TODAY…E winds 20 to 25 kt. Seas 7 to 10 ft in NE to E swell.
.TONIGHT…NE to E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 6 to 9 ft in NE to E
swell.
.MON…NE to E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft in NE to E
swell.
.MON NIGHT…E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft.
.TUE…E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft.
.TUE NIGHT…E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 6 to 8 ft.
.WED…E winds 20 kt. Seas 6 to 8 ft.
.WED NIGHT…NE to E winds 20 to 25 kt. Seas 6 to 9 ft in NE to E
swell.
.THU…NE to E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 6 to 9 ft in E swell.
.THU NIGHT…NE to E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 6 to 9 ft in NE to E
swell.
$$
AMZ027-132115-
Tropical N Atlantic from 15N to 19N between 55W and 60W-
402 AM EST Sun Feb 13 2022
.TODAY…NE to E winds 20 to 25 kt. Seas 7 to 10 ft in NE swell.
.TONIGHT…NE to E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 6 to 9 ft in NE swell.
.MON…E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 6 to 8 ft in NE swell.
.MON NIGHT…E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 6 to 9 ft in NE to E
swell.
.TUE…E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 6 to 9 ft in E swell.
.TUE NIGHT…NE to E winds 20 kt. Seas 6 to 9 ft in E swell.
.WED…NE to E winds 20 kt. Seas 6 to 9 ft in E swell.
.WED NIGHT…NE to E winds 20 to 25 kt. Seas 7 to 10 ft in E
swell.
.THU…NE to E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 6 to 9 ft in E swell.
.THU NIGHT…NE to E winds 20 kt. Seas 6 to 9 ft in E swell.
$$
AMZ029-132115-
W Central Caribbean from 11N to 15N W of 80W-
402 AM EST Sun Feb 13 2022
.TODAY…NE to E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 6 to 9 ft in E swell.
.TONIGHT…NE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 6 to 9 ft in E swell.
.MON…NE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 6 to 8 ft in E swell. Scattered
showers.
.MON NIGHT…NE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 6 to 9 ft in E swell.
.TUE…NE to E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft.
.TUE NIGHT…NE to E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft.
.WED…NE to E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 6 to 8 ft.
.WED NIGHT…NE to E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 6 to 8 ft.
.THU…NE to E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 6 to 8 ft.
.THU NIGHT…NE to E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 6 to 8 ft.
$$
AMZ031-132115-
Caribbean from 11N to 15N between 72W and 80W including Colombia
Basin-
402 AM EST Sun Feb 13 2022
…GALE WARNING…
…GALE CONDITIONS POSSIBLE AT NIGHT…
.TODAY…NE to E winds 20 to 25 kt. Seas 8 to 12 ft in E swell.
.TONIGHT…NE to E winds 25 to 35 kt. Seas 8 to 12 ft in NE to E
swell.
.MON…NE to E winds 20 to 25 kt. Seas 7 to 10 ft in E swell.
.MON NIGHT…NE to E winds 25 to 35 kt. Seas 8 to 12 ft in E
swell.
.TUE…NE to E winds 20 to 25 kt. Seas 6 to 9 ft in E swell.
.TUE NIGHT…NE to E winds 25 to 35 kt. Seas 9 to 13 ft in NE to
E swell.
.WED…NE to E winds 20 to 25 kt. Seas 7 to 10 ft in E swell.
.WED NIGHT…NE to E winds 20 to 30 kt. Seas 9 to 13 ft in NE to
E swell.
.THU…NE to E winds 20 to 30 kt. Seas 8 to 12 ft in E swell.
.THU NIGHT…NE to E winds 20 to 30 kt. Seas 9 to 13 ft in E
swell.
$$
AMZ033-132115-
Caribbean S of 15N between 64W and 72W including Venezuela Basin-
402 AM EST Sun Feb 13 2022
.TODAY…NE to E winds 20 to 25 kt Gulf of Venezuela, and E 15 to
20 kt elsewhere. Seas 6 to 8 ft.
.TONIGHT…NE to E winds 20 to 30 kt Gulf of Venezuela, and NE to
E 15 to 20 kt elsewhere. Seas 6 to 8 ft.
.MON…E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft.
.MON NIGHT…NE to E winds 20 to 25 kt Gulf of Venezuela, and NE
to E 15 to 20 kt elsewhere. Seas 5 to 7 ft.
.TUE…NE to E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft.
.TUE NIGHT…NE to E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft.
.WED…E winds 20 to 25 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft.
.WED NIGHT…NE to E winds 20 to 25 kt. Seas 6 to 9 ft in E
swell.
.THU…E winds 20 to 25 kt. Seas 6 to 9 ft in E swell.
.THU NIGHT…NE to E winds 20 kt. Seas 6 to 8 ft.
$$
AMZ035-132115-
Offshore Waters Windward Islands including Trinidad and Tobago-
402 AM EST Sun Feb 13 2022
.TODAY…NE to E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 6 to 8 ft in NE to E
swell.
.TONIGHT…NE to E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 6 to 8 ft in NE to E
swell.
.MON…NE to E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft.
.MON NIGHT…NE to E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft. Scattered
showers.
.TUE…E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft.
.TUE NIGHT…E winds 20 to 25 kt. Seas 6 to 9 ft in NE to E
swell.
.WED…NE to E winds 20 kt. Seas 6 to 9 ft in NE to E swell.
.WED NIGHT…NE to E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 6 to 8 ft.
.THU…NE to E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 6 to 8 ft.
.THU NIGHT…NE to E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft.
$$
AMZ037-132115-
Tropical N Atlantic from 07N to 15N between 55W and 60W-
402 AM EST Sun Feb 13 2022
.TODAY…NE to E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 6 to 8 ft in NE swell.
.TONIGHT…NE to E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 6 to 8 ft in NE swell.
.MON…NE to E winds 15 kt. Seas 6 to 8 ft in NE swell.
.MON NIGHT…NE to E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 7 to 10 ft in NE to
E swell.
.TUE…E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 6 to 9 ft in NE to E swell.
.TUE NIGHT…NE to E winds 20 kt. Seas 6 to 9 ft in NE to E
swell.
.WED…NE to E winds 20 kt. Seas 7 to 10 ft in NE to E swell.
.WED NIGHT…NE to E winds 20 kt. Seas 7 to 10 ft in NE to E
swell.
.THU…NE to E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 6 to 8 ft in NE to E
swell.
.THU NIGHT…NE to E winds 15 kt. Seas 6 to 8 ft in NE to E
swell.
$$
AMZ039-132115-
SW Caribbean S of 11N including Approaches to Panama Canal-
402 AM EST Sun Feb 13 2022
.TODAY…NW to N winds 10 to 15 kt S of 10N, and NE 15 to 20 kt
elsewhere. Seas 7 to 11 ft in NE to E swell. Scattered showers.
.TONIGHT…N to NE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 7 to 10 ft in NE
swell. Scattered showers.
.MON…NE winds 20 to 25 kt. Seas 7 to 11 ft in NE to E swell.
Scattered showers and isolated tstms.
.MON NIGHT…NE winds 20 to 25 kt. Seas 7 to 10 ft in NE to E
swell. Scattered showers.
.TUE…NE winds 20 to 25 kt. Seas 7 to 10 ft in NE to E swell.
.TUE NIGHT…NE winds 20 to 25 kt. Seas 6 to 9 ft in NE to E
swell.
.WED…NE winds 20 to 25 kt. Seas 6 to 9 ft in NE to E swell.
.WED NIGHT…NE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 6 to 9 ft in NE swell.
.THU…NE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 6 to 9 ft in NE swell.
.THU NIGHT…NE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 7 to 10 ft in NE swell.
$$
AMZ101-132115-
Synopsis for the SW N Atlantic including the Bahamas
402 AM EST Sun Feb 13 2022
.SYNOPSIS…Fresh to strong trades will pulse N of Hispaniola
through tonight. The next cold front is forecast to move offshore
Florida late this morning. Fresh to strong winds are expected
ahead of and behind the front, this afternoon through Mon morning
to the north and northeast of the Bahamas. The front will extend
from 27N65W to eastern Cuba late Mon night. High pressure will
strengthen north of the area in the wake of the front, causing
strong NE to E winds to expand over the entire area Tue through
Wed night, along with building seas.
$$
AMZ111-132115-
Atlantic from 27N to 31N W of 77W-
402 AM EST Sun Feb 13 2022
.TODAY…W winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft. Scattered showers
and isolated tstms.
.TONIGHT…NW winds 20 to 25 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft.
.MON…NW to N winds 20 kt, shifting to N 10 to 15 kt in the
afternoon. Seas 6 to 8 ft in NW to N swell.
.MON NIGHT…N to NE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft in NE
swell.
.TUE…E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft.
.TUE NIGHT…E winds 20 to 25 kt. Seas 6 to 8 ft.
.WED…E winds 20 to 25 kt. Seas 6 to 9 ft in E to SE swell.
.WED NIGHT…E to SE winds 20 to 25 kt. Seas 6 to 9 ft in E to SE
swell.
.THU…SE winds 20 to 25 kt. Seas 7 to 10 ft in E to SE swell.
.THU NIGHT…S winds 20 to 25 kt. Seas 6 to 9 ft in E to SE
swell.
$$
AMZ113-132115-
Atlantic from 27N to 31N between 70W and 77W-
402 AM EST Sun Feb 13 2022
.TODAY…S to SW winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft. Scattered
tstms.
.TONIGHT…SW to W winds 20 to 25 kt. Seas 6 to 9 ft in SW to W
swell. Scattered showers.
.MON…NW to N winds 20 to 25 kt. Seas 6 to 9 ft in NW swell.
.MON NIGHT…N to NE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 7 to 10 ft in NW to
N swell.
.TUE…NE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 6 to 8 ft.
.TUE NIGHT…NE to E winds 20 to 25 kt. Seas 6 to 9 ft in E
swell.
.WED…E winds 20 to 25 kt. Seas 7 to 10 ft in E swell.
.WED NIGHT…E winds 20 to 25 kt. Seas 7 to 10 ft in E to SE
swell.
.THU…E to SE winds 20 kt. Seas 7 to 10 ft in E to SE swell.
.THU NIGHT…SE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 7 to 10 ft in E to SE
swell.
$$
AMZ115-132115-
Atlantic from 27N to 31N between 65W and 70W-
402 AM EST Sun Feb 13 2022
.TODAY…SE to S winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft.
.TONIGHT…S winds 20 to 25 kt. Seas 6 to 8 ft.
.MON…SW winds 20 to 25 kt, shifting to W to NW 15 to 20 kt in
the afternoon. Seas 6 to 9 ft in W swell. Scattered showers.
.MON NIGHT…N winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 7 to 10 ft in W to NW
swell.
.TUE…N to NE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 6 to 9 ft in NW to N
swell.
.TUE NIGHT…NE winds 20 to 25 kt. Seas 7 to 10 ft in N swell.
.WED…NE to E winds 20 to 25 kt. Seas 7 to 11 ft in E to SE
swell.
.WED NIGHT…E winds 20 to 25 kt. Seas 7 to 11 ft in E swell.
.THU…E winds 20 to 25 kt. Seas 7 to 11 ft in E to SE swell.
.THU NIGHT…E to SE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 7 to 10 ft in E
swell.
$$
AMZ117-132115-
Bahamas including Cay Sal Bank-
402 AM EST Sun Feb 13 2022
.TODAY…SE to S winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. Scattered
showers.
.TONIGHT…S to SW winds 10 to 15 kt, shifting to NW to N 15 to
20 kt late. Seas 3 to 5 ft.
.MON…N to NE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft.
.MON NIGHT…NE winds 20 to 25 kt. Seas 6 to 8 ft.
.TUE…NE to E winds 20 to 25 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft.
.TUE NIGHT…NE to E winds 20 to 25 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft.
.WED…E winds 20 to 25 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft.
.WED NIGHT…E winds 20 to 25 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft.
.THU…E to SE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft.
.THU NIGHT…E to SE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft.
$$
AMZ119-132115-
Atlantic from 22N to 27N E of Bahamas to 70W-
402 AM EST Sun Feb 13 2022
.TODAY…SE winds 15 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft.
.TONIGHT…S winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft. Scattered
showers.
.MON…NW to N winds 15 to 20 kt N of 25N, and E to SE 10 to
15 kt elsewhere. Seas 5 to 7 ft in NE to E swell.
.MON NIGHT…NE winds 20 to 25 kt. Seas 6 to 9 ft in NW to N
swell.
.TUE…NE to E winds 20 to 25 kt. Seas 7 to 10 ft in E swell.
.TUE NIGHT…NE to E winds 20 to 25 kt. Seas 7 to 10 ft in E
swell.
.WED…E winds 20 to 25 kt. Seas 7 to 11 ft in E swell.
.WED NIGHT…E winds 20 to 25 kt. Seas 7 to 11 ft in E swell.
.THU…E winds 20 to 25 kt. Seas 7 to 11 ft in E swell.
.THU NIGHT…E to SE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 7 to 10 ft in E
swell.
$$
AMZ121-132115-
Atlantic from 22N to 27N between 65W and 70W-
402 AM EST Sun Feb 13 2022
.TODAY…E to SE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft.
.TONIGHT…SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft in E swell.
.MON…SE to S winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft in E swell.
.MON NIGHT…N of 25N, NW winds 10 to 15 kt, shifting to N to NE
15 to 20 kt late. Elsewhere, NE to E winds 10 kt. Seas
5 to 7 ft in E swell.
.TUE…NE winds 20 to 25 kt. Seas 6 to 9 ft in E swell.
.TUE NIGHT…NE to E winds 20 to 25 kt. Seas 7 to 10 ft in NE to
E swell.
.WED…NE to E winds 20 to 25 kt. Seas 7 to 11 ft in E swell.
.WED NIGHT…NE to E winds 20 to 25 kt. Seas 7 to 11 ft in NE to
E swell.
.THU…E winds 20 to 25 kt. Seas 7 to 11 ft in NE to E swell.
.THU NIGHT…E winds 20 kt. Seas 7 to 11 ft in NE to E swell.
$$
AMZ123-132115-
Atlantic S of 22N W of 70W including Approaches to the Windward
Passage-
402 AM EST Sun Feb 13 2022
.TODAY…E to SE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft.
.TONIGHT…E to SE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft.
.MON…NE to E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft.
.MON NIGHT…NE to E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft.
.TUE…NE to E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft.
.TUE NIGHT…NE to E winds 20 to 25 kt. Seas 6 to 8 ft.
.WED…E winds 20 to 25 kt. Seas 6 to 8 ft.
.WED NIGHT…E winds 20 to 25 kt. Seas 6 to 8 ft.
.THU…E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 6 to 8 ft.
.THU NIGHT…E winds 20 to 25 kt. Seas 6 to 8 ft.
$$
AMZ125-132115-
Atlantic S of 22N between 65W and 70W including Puerto Rico
Trench-
402 AM EST Sun Feb 13 2022
.TODAY…E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 6 to 8 ft in E swell.
.TONIGHT…E to SE winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 6 to 8 ft in E swell.
.MON…E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft in E swell.
.MON NIGHT…NE to E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft.
.TUE…NE to E winds 15 kt. Seas 4 to 6 ft.
.TUE NIGHT…NE to E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft.
.WED…E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 6 to 8 ft in E swell.
.WED NIGHT…E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 6 to 9 ft in E swell.
.THU…E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 6 to 9 ft in E swell.
.THU NIGHT…E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 6 to 9 ft in NE to E
swell.
$$
AMZ127-132115-
Atlantic from 19N to 22N between 55W and 65W-
402 AM EST Sun Feb 13 2022
.TODAY…NE to E winds 20 to 25 kt. Seas 7 to 10 ft in NE to E
swell.
.TONIGHT…E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 6 to 9 ft in NE to E swell.
.MON…E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 6 to 8 ft in NE to E swell.
.MON NIGHT…E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 6 to 8 ft in NE to E
swell.
.TUE…E winds 15 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft in E swell.
.TUE NIGHT…E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 5 to 7 ft.
.WED…NE to E winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 6 to 8 ft.
.WED NIGHT…NE to E winds 20 to 25 kt. Seas 6 to 9 ft in E
swell.
.THU…NE to E winds 20 kt. Seas 7 to 10 ft in E swell.
.THU NIGHT…NE to E winds 20 kt. Seas 7 to 11 ft in NE swell.
$$
Forecaster Hagen
February 13, 2022 Latest St Maarten Caribbean Weather
By St Maarten News , February 13, 2022
February 13, 2022 Latest St Maarten Caribbean Weather
February 13, 2022 Latest St Maarten Caribbean Weather
DISTURBANCE IN ATLANTIC EXPECTED TO BECOME TROPICAL STORM
LATEST UPDATE DUTCH SINT MAARTEN GOVERNMENT
WEATHER SOURCES:
- NOAA
- ACCUWEATHER
- WEATHER CHANNEL
- DUTCH SINT MAARTEN GOVERNMENT
- FRENCH ST MARTIN GOVERNMENT
- EYE4
- SEND UPDATES AT WHATSAPP/TELEGRAM 721 527 6730
https://www.facebook.com/StMaartenNewsWeather/
…A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FOR ST. MAARTEN UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE…
At 5am, the center of Potential Tropical Cyclone Six was located about 170 miles SSE of St. Maarten. The center is expected to pass approximately 120 miles south of the island early this afternoon. Some further strengthening is expected, and the system is likely to become a Tropical Storm today. This disturbance has the potential to bring rainfall amounts of 1-2 inches through Wednesday.
Residents of St. Maarten are encouraged to monitor updates from the Meteorological Department closely.
August 9
4 p.m. update
The disturbance just east of the Lesser Antilles is expected to become a tropical storm this evening. The next name on the Atlantic Hurricane name list is Fred. This system is expected to move west-northwest towards the Dominican Republic this week and may near Florida by this weekend. At this time, the NHC is keeping this as a tropical storm in their latest track. Tropical Storm watches are in effect for some of the Caribbean Islands including the Dominican Republic, the U.S. Virgin Islands, and Puerto Rico.
https://d-27005516682293608951.ampproject.net/2107240354000/frame.html
August 9
9 a.m. update
We continue to track two tropical waves in the Atlantic with the potential for tropical development. Neither is any immediate threat to Texas or the Western Gulf, but we’ll be watching them closely.
The tropical wave that looks most likely to develop is located about 150 miles east of Barbados. Formation odds have increased to 70% during the next 48 hours. The disturbance is forecast to reach portions of the Lesser Antilles as early as Monday night.
The uptick in activity is a reminder that the peak of hurricane season is coming, so stay prepared and stay tuned.
August 8
9 a.m. update
We have two tropical waves in the Atlantic that each have a 40% chance of development over the next 5 days. Neither is any immediate threat to Texas or the Western Gulf, but we’ll be watching them closely. Another wave coming off Africa this week will also be watched for potential development. The uptick in activity is a reminder that the peak of hurricane season is coming, so stay prepared and stay tuned.
August 7
9 a.m. update
There’s no immediate concerns for Texas or for the Gulf, but there’s certainly signs that the tropics are becoming more active. Three separate tropical waves rolling off Africa all have a low (30% or less) chance of development, none of them are expected to impact Texas.
August 6
9 a.m. update
The National Hurricane Center continues to monitor two tropical waves in the far eastern Atlantic.
A tropical wave off the coast of Africa has a medium chance for development as it moves west. Formation odds at 60% during the next 5 days.
Another tropical wave is forecast to https://www.stmaartennews.org
move west toward the Lesser Antilles by the weekend and into early next week. As the disturbance moves west-northwest, the chance for tropical development will become more favorable. Development odds are low (20%) during the next 5 days.
August 5
9 a.m. update
The National Hurricane Center continues to monitor two tropical waves in the far eastern Atlantic.
A tropical wave is expected to move off the coast of Africa on Thursday. Development will be possible as this system moves west. Formation odds are increasing, now at 60% during the next 5 days.
Another tropical wave is forecast to move west toward the Lesser Antilles by the weekend and into early next week. As the disturbance moves west-northwest, the chance for tropical development becomes more favorable. Development odds are low (20%) during the next 5 days.
August 4
8 a.m. update
There’s no immediate threat for tropical development, however the National Hurricane Center has highlighted a couple of areas to watch in the Atlantic basin.
A tropical wave is expected to move off the coast of Africa later this week. Slow development will be possible as this system moves west. Formation odds are low (30%) during the next 5 days.
Another tropical wave is forecast to move west toward the Lesser Antilles by the weekend and into early next week. As the disturbance moves west-northwest, the chance for tropical development becomes more favorable. Development odds are low (20%) during the next 5 days.
NOAA also released an update on its Atlantic hurricane season outlook. Bottom line: the season shows no signs of slowing down as we head into the peak months.
The latest outlook says that the number of expected named storms (winds of 39 mph or greater) is 15-21, including 7-10 hurricanes (winds of 74 mph or greater), of which 3-5 could become major hurricanes (Category 3, 4, or 5 with winds 111 mph or greater).
The updated outlook includes the five named storms that have formed so far, with Hurricane Elsa becoming the earliest 5th named storm on record.
According to NOAA scientists, the likelihood of an above-normal season is 65%. There’s a 25% chance of a near-normal season and 10% chance of a below-normal season.
August 3
9 a.m. update
No immediate threat for tropical development, however the National Hurricane Center has highlighted an area to watch off the coast of Africa.
A disorganized area of showers and thunderstorms has formed about hundred miles south of the Cabo Verde Islands. Further development of this system, will be slow as it moves northward or northwest. Formation odds are low (10%) during the next 5 days.
August 2
9 a.m. update
No new tropical development is expected within the next five days. That being said, longer range models and trends are indicating that things will be a bit more active in the weeks to come. Stay tuned.
August 1
7 a.m. update
No new tropical development is expected within the next five days. That being said, our quest stretch of tropical weather isn’t likely to last long, as climatologically speaking things tend to pick up in August.
July 31
7 a.m. update
Still getting the “all quiet” signal in the tropics in the short-term (next 5 days), but longer range models and trends are indicating that as we head in to August things will be a bit more active in the weeks to come.
July 30
7 a.m. update
No new tropical development is expected within the next five days. Long range models are starting to indicate we should begin to see more tropical development in the Atlantic in the coming weeks, so stay tuned as hurricane season gets going.
July 29
7 a.m. update
No new tropical development is expected within the next five days. That being said, our quest stretch of tropical weather isn’t likely to last long, as climatologically speaking things tend to pick up in August.
July 28
7 a.m. update
No new tropical development is expected within the next five days.
Saharan dust is currently draped across the Atlantic but most of the dust over Texas has dispersed. We may see some low concentrations of this dust next week.
July 27
7 a.m. update
The disturbance that has been meandering near the southeast coast has moved into Georgia and is not expected to develop.
July 26
10 a.m. update
The area of potential development in the Gulf Stream has a low chance of development, just a 30% chance over the next 5 days. This system doesn’t look to have any impact on our weather here in Southeast Texas.
July 25
2 p.m. update
The area of disturbed weather off the Florida Atlantic coast has not changed much strength-wise since Saturday, but the environment remains marginally ripe for further development. The low pressure area, around 150 miles east of Daytona Beach, was producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. It’s expected to continue drifting west-northwestward toward the the northeast coast of Florida. The chance of formation over the next 5 days remains at 50%.
7 a.m. update
A disorganized area of disturbed weather continues to brew off the Florida Atlantic coast around 160 miles east of Daytona Beach. Conditions are expected to be ripe for this area to develop, and a tropical depression forming is possible as it drifts westward.
The National Hurricane Center has now put the development chances over the next 5 days at 50%.
July 24
2 p.m. update
Showers and thunderstorms are still disorganized around a low pressure system around 200 miles off the coast of Daytona Beach, Florida. While conditions aren’t ripe for development just yet, a tropical depression could develop over the next day or so as that low drifts westward toward the Florida Peninsula. The National Hurricane Center gives formation a 60% chance of development over the next 48 hours, which is a medium liklihood. An Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft was scheduled to investigate the system further today.
7 a.m. update
The system off the east coast of Georgia and Florida that we’ve been watching is up to a 60% chance of development over the next 5 days. The impacts and direction of the potential system are still uncertain, but we’ll be watching it closely here on ABC13.
July 23
9 a.m. update
No issues for Texas in the foreseeable future. The only area of potential development is a low spinning up off the coast of Georgia in the warm waters of the Gulf Stream. Right now that system has just a 30% chance of development over the next 5 days, and it will not have any impact on us regardless.
July 22
3 a.m. update
A disturbance currently over Mississippi will gradually push off the eastern seaboard this weekend. As it reaches the warm waters of the Gulf Stream off the east coast of Florida and Georgia it has a 30% chance of development over the next 5 days. No impact is expected in Texas regardless of development.
July 20
9 a.m. update
Quiet in the tropics as Saharan dust covering much of the Atlantic and Caribbean will inhibit tropical development over the next 5 days.
The Saharan dust will eventually impact southeast Texas as early as Friday and continue through early next week.
July 19
9 a.m. update
Quiet in the tropics as Saharan dust covering much of the Atlantic and Caribbean will inhibit tropical development over the next 5 days.
The Saharan dust will eventually impact southeast Texas later this week and continue through the weekend.
July 18
No tropical development expected over the next 5 days.
July 17
For the north Atlantic, the Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico, tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next five days.
July 15
9 a.m. update The Tropics are staying quiet, but the dust is moving in to Southeast Texas. You may notice a bit of haze later today and tomorrow, but it will be clearing out by Sunday.
July 15
9 a.m. update The Tropics will remain quiet due to an increase in Saharan dust.
The National Hurricane Center continues to monitor one area of disturbed weather several hundred miles south-southwest of Cape Race, Newfoundland. Environmental conditions are only marginally favorable for tropical development at this time. Formation odds at 10% during the next 5 days.
July 14
9 a.m. update The Tropics will remain quiet due to an increase in Saharan dust.
However, the National Hurricane Center is monitoring one area of disturbed weather several hundred miles south-southwest of Cape Race, Newfoundland. Environmental conditions are only marginally favorable for tropical development at this time. Formation odds at 10% during the next 5 days.
July 13
9 a.m. update The Tropics will remain quiet due to an increase in Saharan dust.
However, the National Hurricane Center is monitoring one area of disturbed weather several hundred miles south-southeast of Cape Race, Newfoundland. Environmental conditions are only marginally favorable for tropical development at this time. Formation odds at 10% during the next 5 days.
July 12
9 a.m. update
Quiet in the tropics as Saharan dust covering much of the Atlantic and Caribbean will inhibit tropical development over the next 5 days.
July 11
10 a.m. update
With Saharan dust blanketing much of the Atlantic and Caribbean, tropical development is not expected over the next 5 days.
July 10
10 a.m. update
With the remnants of Elsa clearing away from New England, we’re left with quiet weather across the tropics. No development is expected over the next 5 days.
July 9
7 a.m. update
Elsa remains a Tropical Storm and is expected to move over eastern Long Island and the southern New England cost today before heading offshore late this afternoon. Maximum sustained winds were near 50 mph with higher gusts. No significant change in strength is expected through today.
July 8
8 a.m. update
Elsa remains a Tropical Storm as it moves across the Carolinas. Torrential rains may result in flash flooding along with tropical storm conditions that will expand from the Mid-Atlantic into New England Thursday and Friday.
The system should move over Atlantic Canada by Friday night and Saturday.
July 7
4 p.m. update
Elsa made landfall this morning near Horseshoe Beach in Florida as a tropical storm. Elsa remains a tropical storms as it moves N at 14 mph into Georgia with max winds of 45 mph. Elsa should continue to track through Georgia & South Carolina through Wednesday night into Thursday morning and will continue to the northwest through the end of the week. Elsa is expected to weaken back to a depression over North Carolina before intensifying back into a tropical storm before moving off the east coast.
4 a.m. update
Elsa has weakened back in to a Tropical Storm, but is still battering the west coast of the Florida Peninsula this morning, poised make landfall later today north of Tampa.
July 6
7 p.m. update
Elsa has intensified back into a category one hurricane with 75 mph winds. Elsa is expected to make landfall near or north of Tampa, Florida Wednesday as a hurricane.
10 a.m. update
Elsa has maintained tropical storm strength today with a 60mph max winds and a central pressure of 1007mb’s. Clear of any interaction from land, Elsa will slowly strengthen in the eastern Gulf of Mexico through early tomorrow morning, making landfall on the west coast of Florida early Wednesday as a high end tropical storm or low end hurricane.
July 5
10 a.m. update
Elsa remains a Tropical Storm with 65mph winds as it moves northwest at 14mph towards Cuba. Elsa will cross over Cuba today, likely weakening as it does so, then emerge in the Eastern Gulf of Mexico before making landfall in Florida.
July 4
7 a.m. update
Elsa remains at Tropical Storm strength this morning, winds are 65mph with a central pressure up to 1007mb’s. The forward speed has more than halved in the last 24 hours, down to just 13mph to the WNW. Models are coming in to good agreement about landfall in Florida, likely as a tropical storm, after crossing Cuba.
July 3
7 p.m. update
Tropical Storm Elsa continues to move WNW at 23 mph through the Caribbean. Elsa currently has max wind speeds of 70 mph. The latest track from the NHC puts Tropical Storm Elsa near the Florida Keys late Monday night into early Tuesday.
10 a.m. update
Elsa has weakened and has returned to tropical storm status as conditions deteriorate over portions of the Dominican Republic and Haiti. At 11 a.m. CDT, Elsa was located around 40 miles south of Isla Beata Dominican Republic and 350 miles east of Kingston, Jamaica. Maximum sustained winds were 70 mph and the system was moving west-northwest at 29 mph.
July 2
7 a.m. update
Elsa has strengthened to a hurricane, making it the first hurricane of the 2021 Atlantic season.
No impact is expected along the Texas coast. The latest advisory from the National Hurricane Center says that Elsa’s maximum sustained winds have increased to near 75 mph.
A Hurricane Warning has been issued for Barbados, St. Vincent, the Grenadines, and St. Lucia.
July 1
11 a.m. update
Tropical Storm Elsa formed Thursday morning in the Atlantic Ocean and is currently about 680 miles ESE of the Windward Islands.
The latest advisory from the National Hurricane Center found Elsa had maximum sustained winds of 45 miles per hour and is racing westward at 28 miles per hour.
Over the next day or two Elsa is expected to speed up, tracking toward the Windward Islands and the southern Leeward Islands. Tropical Storm Elsa is expected to arrive at those islands sometime Friday.
A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for Barbados, Martinique, St. Lucia, St. Vincent and the Grenadines.
July 1
8:30 a.m. update
Tropical Storm Elsa formed Thursday morning in the Atlantic Ocean over 700 miles ESE of the Windward Islands.
The latest advisory from the National Hurricane Center found Elsa had maximum sustained winds of 40 miles per hour and moving quickly westward at 25 miles per hour.
Over the next day or two Elsa is expected to speed up, tracking toward the Windward Islands and the southern Leeward Islands. Tropical Storm Elsa is expected to arrive at those islands sometime Friday.
A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for Barbados, Martinique, St. Lucia, St. Vincent and the Grenadines.
July 1
6:30 a.m. update
Tropical Storm Elsa formed Thursday morning in the Atlantic Ocean.
Elsa’s July 1 formation is the earliest for any fifth-named storm on record, breaking a record set last year by Edouard.
The 5 a.m. update from the National Hurricane Center found Elsa had maximum sustained winds of 40 miles per hour and is located about 865 miles east-southeast of the Windward Islands.
Over the next day or two Elsa is expected to speed up, tracking toward the Windward Islands and the southern Leeward Islands. Tropical Storm Elsa is expected to arrive at those islands sometime Friday.
A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for Barbados, Martinique, St. Lucia, St. Vincent and the Grenadines.
It’s still too early to tell if and when the system will make landfall in the contiguous United States, but preliminary forecasts show Elsa could arrive at the southern tip of Florida around Tuesday.
June 30
10 p.m. update
Tropical Depression five has formed about 1,100 miles east of the Windward Islands in the central Atlantic. It’s expected to become Tropical Storm Elsa Thursday.
June 30
4 p.m. update
Potential Storm Five has formed in the central Atlantic 1,195 miles east of the Windward Islands. The system is expected to move into the eastern Caribbean Friday afternoon, then possibly into the eastern Gulf late Monday. At this time, the storm does not appear to be a threat to the upper Texas coast. We will, of course, keep a close eye on it.
June 30
8 a.m. update
The National Hurricane Center is monitoring two tropical waves in the tropical Atlantic. The tropical wave closest to the Lesser Antilles has a low chance for development during the next 5 days. Formation odds at 10%.
Meanwhile, the system located several hundred miles east of the Windward Islands has a 60% chance for tropical development during the next 48 hours, 80% chance during the next 5 days. Atmospheric conditions remian favorable for potential tropical development during the next few days, and a tropical depression is likely to form as the system moves west-northwest at about 20 mph.
June 29
8 a.m. update
Danny has dissipated however, lingering moisture from this system will result in periods of heavy rain for parts of Georgia and Alabama on Tuesday.
The National Hurricane Center is also monitoring two tropical waves in the tropical Atlantic. Slow development will be possible with both of these systems. The tropical wave closest to the Lesser Antilles has a medium chance for development during the next 5 days. Formation odds at 40%. Meanwhile, the system southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands has a 20% chance for tropical development.
June 28
2 p.m. update
Tropical depression four has strengthened to Tropical Storm Danny with 40 mph winds. Danny will continue to move west, making landfall in South Carolina this evening.
10 a.m. update
Tropical Depression Four has formed just off the east coast with wind speeds of 35 mph and is moving WNW at 16 mph. It is expected to become a tropical storm before making landfall in South Carolina Monday night. A tropical storm warning is in effect for the South Carolina coast.
9 a.m. update
The highest chance for storm development is from a system off the east coast of the US, about 250 miles ESE of Savannah Georgia. That system has a 70% chance of development in the next 5 days, but will not be impacting the Gulf of Mexico. Another system in the Atlantic has a 40% chance of development.
June 27
5 a.m. update
We’re still monitoring a wave off the coast of Africa, but the chance for development remains low, just 30% over the next 5 days. Another area of potential development off the eastern seaboard has a 20% chance for development, but poses no threat to the Gulf.
June 26
8 a.m. update
We’re still monitoring a wave off the coast of Africa, but the chance for development is just 10% over the next 5 days.
June 25
8 a.m. update
A strong tropical wave is located just off the coast of Africa. Showers and thunderstorms with this system are disorganized and development, if any will be slow to occur.
Formation odds are low at 20%. This wave is expected to move west to north-west at 15 to 20 mph toward the central Atlantic through the middle of next week.
June 24
8 a.m. update
There are two areas of disturbed weather that the National Hurricane Center will monitor over the next 5 days.
A tropical wave east of Barbados remains disorganized and only has a 10% chance for tropical development.
A stronger tropical wave has emerged off the coast of Africa and has a medium chance for development during the next 5 days. Formation odds at 40%. A small tropical depression could form by early next week while the system moves west.
June 23
8 a.m. update
Much of the Atlantic is quiet for now. A tropical wave several hundred miles east of the Windward Islands remains disorganized.
Formation odds have decreased to 10% and the development of this system is unlikely as it tracks toward the west-northwest.
June 22
9 a.m. update
Claudette is quickly moving away from the east coast and will continue to to weaken on Tuesday.
Meanwhile, monitoring another area of disturbed weather in the Atlantic well east of the Lesser Antilles for a 30% chance of development while it tracks west.
June 21
4 p.m. update
Claudette is quickly moving away from the east coast. Now that it’s moving towards cooler water, it will slowly weaken into a depression on Tuesday. Another disturbance in the Atlantic well east of the Lesser Antilles has a 30% chance of developing as it moves west.
June 21
4 a.m. update
Claudette has regained Tropical Storm strength and status with 40mph winds as it moves across North Carolina. The system will continue pushing east and be off eastern seaboard later today.
June 20
7 a.m. update
Tropical Depression
Claudette continues to move toward the east-northeast over the Deep South at around 13 mph. It’s expected to move over the coast of North Carolina by Monday and into the western Atlantic Ocean. Maximum sustained winds remained near 30 mph and some re-strengthening was expected tonight.
5 a.m. update
Tropical Depression Claudette is located over Alabama and moving east in to Georgia this morning. The storm currently has winds of 30mph, but is forecast to regain strength and become a Tropical Storm again on Monday, Tropical Storm Warnings are in effect for coastal North Carolina and parts of South Carolina.
June 19
4 p.m. update
Claudette is now a tropical depression with 35 mph winds, but it will continue to bring heavy rains to states in the Southeast. The low pressure circulation should survive its trek across the Appalachian Mountains, and it could regain tropical storm strength near the Carolinas once it moves over the Atlantic Ocean. A Tropical Storm Watch is now in effect along the North Carolina coastline from Cape Fear to Duck. Moisture extending southwest from Claudette over the Gulf should blow into Southeast Texas Sunday, bringing us a chance for scattered downpours on Father’s Day.
June 19
11 a.m. update
Claudette remains a Tropical Storm with winds of 40mph after moving inland, the center of circulation is over Mississippi, with the heaviest of the rain pushing through the Florida Panhandle. This storm will move briskly east-northeast over the next 48 hours, continuing to clear away from Texas.
7 a.m. update
Claudette moved inland over southeast Louisiana overnight, bringing tropical storm-force winds and flooding rains to that region. Tropical Storm Warnings were still in effect for the Louisiana coast and extended eastward to Florida. Maximum sustained winds were near 45 mph hour with higher gusts. The areas of Covington, Mandeville, Slidell, and other communities along the north shore of Lake Pontchartrain in Louisiana were experiencing the direct impacts of the storm Saturday morning.
The system is expected to make a turn toward the northeast later today and weaken to a tropical depression.
4 a.m. update
Tropical Storm Claudette has formed as it makes landfall in SE Louisiana. Claudette currently has 45mph winds, and is bringing the heaviest rain in to Mississippi, Alabama, and the Florida Panhandle. Tropical Storm Warnings stretch from Louisiana to panhandle of Florida. Impacts in Texas are minimal, but we will see dangerous rip currents on our beaches this morning, a beach hazard statement has been issued through 10am.
June 18
7a.m. update
Outer rain bands from Potential Storm Three will impact coastal areas along the northern Gulf coast beginning Friday morning.
A Tropical Storm Warning has been issued for the Gulf Coast from Intracoastal City, Louisiana, to the Alabama/Florida border, including Lake Pontchartrain, Lake Maurepas, and Metropolitan New Orleans.
All of the severe impacts will stay east of Texas, but we still have elevated tides Friday and a small chance for rain. The best local chance for rain related to this potential storm will come on Father’s Day, long after it has made landfall. If your travel plans take you east of Texas anywhere from Louisiana to the Florida Panhandle this weekend, here are the predicted impacts from the National Hurricane Center:
RAINFALL: Rainfall totals of 4 to 8 inches with isolated maximum amounts of 12 inches are possible beginning Friday and continuing through the weekend from the Central Gulf coast northeastward into the Southern Appalachians. This will likely produce areas of flash, urban, and small stream flooding as well as minor to isolated moderate river flooding with new and renewed rises on already elevated rivers.
STORM SURGE: The combination of storm surge and the tide will cause normally dry areas near the coast to be flooded by rising waters moving inland from the shoreline. The water could reach the following heights above ground somewhere in the indicated areas if the peak surge occurs at the time of high tide…
Intracoastal City, LA to MS/AL Border…2-3 ft Vermilion Bay and Lake Borgne…2-3 ft Lake Pontchartrain and Lake Maurepas…1-2 ft MS/AL border to AL/FL border including Mobile Bay…1-3 ft Cameron, LA to Intracoastal City, LA…1-2 ft
Surge-related flooding depends on the relative timing of the surge and the tidal cycle, and can vary greatly over short distances. For information specific to your area, please see products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast office.
WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected to first reach the coast within the warning area on Friday afternoon, making outside preparations difficult or dangerous.
TORNADOES: The threat for a couple tornadoes should begin Friday afternoon across coastal Louisiana. This threat should expand northward across southern portions of Louisiana and Mississippi, and southwest Alabama on Saturday.
June 17
9:45 p.m. update
There is very little change to the forecast for Potential Storm Three. It remains disorganized, but it is predicted to become Tropical Storm Claudette sometime Friday.
June 17
3:45 p.m. update
The National Hurricane Center just issued their first forecast for Potential Storm Three.
A Tropical Storm Warning has been issued for the Gulf Coast from Intracoastal City, Louisiana, to the Alabama/Florida border, including Lake Pontchartrain, Lake Maurepas, and Metropolitan New Orleans.
All of the severe impacts will stay east of Texas, but we still have elevated tides Friday and a small chance for rain. The best local chance for rain related to this potential storm will come on Father’s Day, long after it has made landfall. If your travel plans take you east of Texas anywhere from Louisiana to the Florida Panhandle this weekend, here are the predicted impacts from the National Hurricane Center:
RAINFALL: Rainfall totals of 4 to 8 inches with isolated maximum amounts of 12 inches are possible beginning Friday and continuing through the weekend from the Central Gulf coast northeastward into the Southern Appalachians. This will likely produce areas of flash, urban, and small stream flooding as well as minor to isolated moderate river flooding with new and renewed rises on already elevated rivers.
STORM SURGE: The combination of storm surge and the tide will cause normally dry areas near the coast to be flooded by rising waters moving inland from the shoreline. The water could reach the following heights above ground somewhere in the indicated areas if the peak surge occurs at the time of high tide…
Intracoastal City, LA to MS/AL Border…2-3 ft Vermilion Bay and Lake Borgne…2-3 ft Lake Pontchartrain and Lake Maurepas…1-2 ft MS/AL border to AL/FL border including Mobile Bay…1-3 ft Cameron, LA to Intracoastal City, LA…1-2 ft
Surge-related flooding depends on the relative timing of the surge and the tidal cycle, and can vary greatly over short distances. For information specific to your area, please see products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast office.
WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected to first reach the coast within the warning area on Friday, making outside preparations difficult or dangerous.
TORNADOES: The threat for a couple tornadoes should begin Friday afternoon across coastal Louisiana. This threat should expand northward across southern portions of Louisiana and Mississippi, and southwest Alabama on Saturday.
The next forecast from the National Hurricane Center will come out by 10 p.m.
June 17
7 a.m. update
The National Hurricane Center upgraded formation odds to 90% over the next 48 hours of the system in the Bay of Campeche. Hurricane Hunters are scheduled to fly into the system on Thursday, especially if it begins to show signs of organization. Once a closed low level circulation with thunderstorms surrounding it is located, the system will be designated a tropical depression or storm. Please keep up with the latest since the forecast could change quickly.
June 16
7 p.m. update
The National Hurricane Center now says “a tropical depression is likely to form by late Thursday or on Friday when the low moves across the western Gulf of Mexico.”
Even if a tropical depression does not form on Thursday, it is possible we will get our first forecast cone for the potential storm. The National Hurricane Center will issue forecasts for a developing system that is expected to become a tropical depression or storm if it is within 48 hours from making landfall.
June 16
1 p.m. update
The National Hurricane Center is maintaining the 70% chance for development over the next 2 days of the system in the Bay of Campeche. Hurricane Hunters are scheduled to fly into the system on Thursday, especially if it begins to show signs of organization. Once a closed low level circulation with thunderstorms surrounding it is located, the system will be designated a tropical depression or storm. Please keep up with the latest since the forecast could change quickly.
June 16
7 a.m. update
The National Hurricane Center now gives the tropical low in the Gulf a 70% chance of developing over the next 2 days and a 90% chance of developing into a tropical depression or storm over the next 5 days.
The potential formation zone extends northward toward the Texas and Louisiana coastlines. Heavy rains could reach the U.S. Gulf Coast as early as Friday.
Impacts here are still “to be determined” based on the exact track the low takes. Once a well-defined low level circulation spins up, we should have a better idea of where it will track and what impacts we’ll get here.
June 15
11:00 p.m. update
The National Hurricane Center now gives the tropical low in the Gulf a 50% chance of developing over the next 2 days and an 80% chance of developing into a tropical depression or storm over the next 5 days.
June 15
12:30 p.m. update
The National Hurricane Center now gives the tropical low in the Gulf an 80% chance of developing into a tropical depression or storm.
June 15
7 a.m. update
The National Hurricane Center gives the tropical low in the Gulf a high (70%) chance of developing into a tropical depression or storm.
June 14
9:45 p.m. update
Tropical Storm Bill has formed off the East Coast. It is no threat to land.
June 14
2 p.m. update
The National Hurricane Center now gives the tropical low in the Gulf a high (70%) chance of developing into a tropical depression or storm.
The potential formation zone has been extended northward toward the Texas and Louisiana coastlines. Heavy rains could reach the U.S. Gulf Coast as early as Friday.
Impacts here are still “to be determined” based on the exact track the low takes. Once a well-defined low level circulation spins up, we should have a better idea of where it will track and what impacts we’ll get here.
June 14
11 a.m. update
Tropical Depression Two forms off the coast of North Carolina. Additional strengthening is expected and this could become Tropical Storm Bill later tonight. This system should begin to weaken by Tuesday night and is expected to dissipate on Wednesday.
8 a.m. update
We continue to monitor a tropical low in the southwest Gulf of Mexico. It is expected to meander around the Bay of Campeche for the first half of the week, then lift northward toward the U.S. Gulf Coast during the second half of the week. The National Hurricane Center keeps the 5-day developments odds at 60% through Saturday evening.
At this time it is still too soon to determine exactly how we will be impacted by it, but if we get any impacts, they will most likely be felt in the Friday to Sunday window of Father’s Day weekend. A tropical depression or storm could form, but a hurricane looks unlikely given the high wind shear expected over the northwestern Gulf.
If it tracks toward Louisiana or farther east, we would be left with hot, dry weather. If it tracks toward the Upper Texas Coast or farther west, we could see some significant rains from it. Once we see where the low pressure consolidates and becomes more organized, then we will get a better feel for where it will track and what our impacts will be.
For now we advise you to stay in awareness mode as the week progresses.
There are two other areas the National Hurricane Center has tagged for tropical development. An area of low pressure off the East Coast has a 70% chance for tropical development during the next 48 hours. This system will be competing to grab the next name on the Atlantic hurricane list: Bill.
A strong tropical wave off the coast of Africa has a 20% chance of tropical development during the next 5 days.
June 13
7 p.m. update
We continue to monitor a tropical low in the southwest Gulf of Mexico. It is expected to meander around the Bay of Campeche for the first half of the week, then lift northward toward the U.S. Gulf Coast during the second half of the week. The National Hurricane Center keeps the 5-day developments odds at 50% through Friday evening.
At this time it is still too soon to determine exactly how we will be impacted by it, but if we get any impacts, they will most likely be felt in the Friday to Sunday window of Father’s Day weekend. A tropical depression or storm could form, but a hurricane looks unlikely given the high wind shear expected over the northwestern Gulf. The next name on the list is Bill.
If it tracks toward Louisiana or farther east, we would be left with hot, dry weather. If it tracks toward the Upper Texas Coast or farther west, we could see some significant rains from it. Once we see where the low pressure consolidates and becomes more organized, then we will get a better feel for where it will track and what our impacts will be.
For now we advise you to stay in awareness mode as the week progresses.
June 13
7 a.m. update
There’s no major change in the modeling or expectations for our Gulf system, but we’re now up to a 50% chance of development over the next 5 days, and there’s high uncertainty as far as any potential impacts to Southeast Texas.
It’s not something you should be overly concerned with at the moment, but it remains an area we’ll continue to monitor.
June 12
2 p.m. update
We are continuing to monitor an area of showers and storms in the Bay of Campeche. The National Hurricane Center gives this disturbance a 10% chance of development over the next 48 hours and a 40% chance over the next 5 days. Slow development will be a possibility over the next few days but it is still way too early to know what impacts, if any, we could see along the Gulf Coast from this disturbance.
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